Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.160055 0.182930 0.208752 0.240226 0.277774 0.321411 0.376365
2025-06-29 0.123744 0.153254 0.190115 0.240247 0.307769 0.397210 0.527506
2025-07-06 0.100820 0.132228 0.174453 0.236827 0.329212 0.465409 0.690309
2025-07-13 0.087747 0.120491 0.167223 0.241194 0.360117 0.553058 0.911301
2025-07-20 0.078462 0.111926 0.162142 0.246494 0.392298 0.650455 1.186398
2025-07-27 0.071209 0.104938 0.157793 0.251347 0.423989 0.755538 1.522366
2025-08-03 0.065709 0.099694 0.155075 0.257936 0.459802 0.879184 1.960547
2025-08-10 0.060406 0.093951 0.150487 0.260009 0.487079 0.994053 2.443751
2025-08-17 0.055718 0.088587 0.145670 0.260549 0.511096 1.109878 3.004863
2025-08-24 0.051407 0.083328 0.140256 0.258809 0.529584 1.219129 3.626165
2025-08-31 0.047408 0.078160 0.134305 0.254850 0.541950 1.317354 4.290866
2025-09-07 0.045118 0.075811 0.133346 0.261252 0.581018 1.506925 5.492359
2025-09-14 0.041746 0.071182 0.127503 0.256181 0.590559 1.615317 6.479345
2025-09-21 0.039459 0.068384 0.125009 0.258423 0.620762 1.807233 8.147507
2025-09-28 0.036913 0.064839 0.120561 0.255296 0.635299 1.953666 9.799817
2025-10-05 0.035324 0.063016 0.119499 0.260266 0.675392 2.219838 12.748672
2025-10-12 0.033944 0.061471 0.118838 0.266140 0.720426 2.536422 16.872561
2025-10-19 0.032634 0.059943 0.118026 0.271491 0.765842 2.888670 22.438413
2025-10-26 0.031553 0.058789 0.117913 0.278745 0.820665 3.331273 30.813533
2025-11-02 0.030229 0.056999 0.116129 0.281028 0.858739 3.721820 40.594716
2025-11-09 0.028906 0.055101 0.113887 0.281623 0.891061 4.112294 52.997879
2025-11-16 0.027543 0.053007 0.110956 0.279707 0.913235 4.465830 67.683313
2025-11-23 0.026152 0.050748 0.107405 0.275351 0.924333 4.762476 84.177947